SOL · 5 full years of history · updated dailySolana seasonality
What held for Solana in the past and what did not. At the top is the list of patterns that held on both halves of the history; below is the calendar of months, days of the month, days of the week and hours: a coloured cell with a mark holds, a pale cell does not.
As of October 12, 2026: 2026 is −15.2% since the start of the year; the average year stood at +126% by this day. Over the next 90 days the price ended higher in 2 of 5 past years.
What holds
- ▼ holdsDay 11 of the month — weaker than usual: 38% of days profitable; a usual day 50%.
- ▲ holdsDay 23 of the month — stronger than usual: 62% of days profitable; a usual day 50%.
- ▼ holdsThe 16:00 UTC hour — weaker than usual: 47% of hours profitable; a usual hour 50%.
The rest does not hold: 67 of 70 checked calendar cells did not repeat on both halves of the history. Months cannot be checked yet: there are 5 full years of history.
Calendar
Months
Too little history to check.
Days of the month
The day of the month. The number is the share of profitable days. A usual day is profitable in 50% of cases.
Days of the week
The number is the share of profitable days. A usual day is profitable in 50% of cases.
Hours of the day
Time UTC. The number is the share of profitable hours. A usual hour is profitable in 50% of cases.
Sessions
The number is the share of profitable sessions. A usual session is profitable in 50% of cases.
Calendar events
The number is the share of profitable days on the days of the event. A usual day of the same years is profitable in 50% of cases.
The average path of the year
The average path of the year
The result since the start of the year, 5 full years (2021–2025). The band holds the middle half of the years.
Months year by year: table
| Month | Profitable years | Median | Best year | Worst year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 3 of 5 | +22.4% | +182%2021 | −41.5%2022 |
| February | 3 of 5 | +0.2% | +208%2021 | −36.1%2025 |
| March | 3 of 5 | +23.2% | +61.1%2024 | −16.0%2025 |
| April | 3 of 5 | +7.5% | +121%2021 | −37.4%2024 |
| May | 2 of 5 | −8.5% | +30.7%2024 | −45.9%2022 |
| June | 1 of 5 | −9.4% | +8.4%2021 | −26.2%2022 |
| July | 5 of 5 | +17.1% | +25.8%2023 | +3.5%2021 |
| August | 2 of 5 | −16.8% | +195%2021 | −25.6%2022 |
| September | 5 of 5 | +8.3% | +30.6%2021 | +4.0%2025 |
| October | 3 of 5 | +10.6% | +79.7%2023 | −10.3%2025 |
| November | 3 of 5 | +3.0% | +54.4%2023 | −56.5%2022 |
| December | 1 of 5 | −18.5% | +71.5%2023 | −29.6%2022 |
There are 5 full years of history: too few to check the months on two halves. Every row is a record of the past. A usual month of Solana is profitable in 57% of cases. The bar shows the share of profitable years.
2026 so far: Jan −15.3%, Feb −20.1%, Mar −1.4%, Apr −0.1%, May −0.8%, Jun −10.6%, Jul −1.1%, Aug +41.4%, Sep +14.6%.
The marks are counted on the whole history; with fewer years the table is a record of those years.
Days of the week and calendar events: tables
Days of the week
| Day | Profitable daysProfitable | Median dayMedian |
|---|---|---|
| Monday | 46%of 261 | −0.34% |
| Tuesday | 51%of 261 | +0.05% |
| Wednesday | 54%of 261 | +0.47% |
| Thursday | 47%of 260 | −0.49% |
| Friday | 52%of 261 | +0.30% |
| Saturday | 52%of 261 | +0.13% |
| Sunday | 50%of 261 | +0.04% |
A usual day is profitable in 50% of cases.
Calendar events
| Event | Profitable daysProfitable | Usual dayUsual |
|---|---|---|
| First three days of the month | 51%of 180 | 50% |
| Turn of the year | 46%of 35 | 50% |
| Fed decision day | 62%of 40 | 50% |
| Day before a US holiday | 49%of 47 | 50% |
The share of profitable days on the days of the event against all days of the same years. The turn of the year is the last five trading days of the year and the first two.
Entry–exit windows
There are 5 full years of history: windows cannot be checked on two halves. Below are the windows that were profitable almost every year, the nearest first: 17 on this history; on a randomly shifted calendar there are 17 on average.
| Window | Profitable years | Median | Worst year | Starts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13 – Oct 2614 days running | 5 of 5 | +16.7% | +0.4%2022 | running |
| Oct 24 – Nov 614 days in 11 d | 4 of 5 | +11.4% | −18.9%2025 | in 11 d |
| Nov 27 – Dec 37 days in 45 d | 4 of 5 | +1.4% | −6.2%2022 | in 45 d |
| Dec 2 – Dec 87 days in 50 d | 4 of 5 | +1.3% | −15.3%2021 | in 50 d |
| Dec 22 – Jan 414 days in 70 d | 4 of 5 | +10.6% | −6.6%2021 | in 70 d |
| Jan 11 – Jan 177 days in 90 d | 5 of 5 | +11.0% | +0.1%2024 | in 90 d |
| Jan 16 – Jan 2914 days in 95 d | 4 of 5 | +10.8% | −34.9%2022 | in 95 d |
| Jan 25 – Feb 714 days in 104 d | 4 of 5 | +13.9% | −24.2%2025 | in 104 d |
Seasonality is one layer. In the terminal the same chart carries the order book, liquidation levels and whales.Free forever — this is not a trial. Sign-up takes a minute, no card required.
Questions and answers
What is Solana seasonality?
The way the price tended to move at the same time of the year, month, week or day in the past. This page shows it for Solana on 5 full years of history, 2021–2025.
Which months were the best and the worst for Solana?
Over 2021–2025 the month profitable most often was July (5 of 5 years, median +17.1%); the month profitable least often was December (1 of 5 years, median −18.5%).
What do coloured and pale cells mean?
A coloured cell with ▲ or ▼ is a pattern that held on both halves of the history. A pale cell is a record of the past: it did not repeat on both halves. A hatched cell has too little history to check.
How many years of history are used?
5 full years: 2021–2025. The current year is drawn on top and does not enter the numbers. The chart and the table of months can be switched to the last years only.
How often is the page updated?
Once a day. The numbers by month, weekday and event change once a year, when a year ends; the line of the current year and the path ahead move every day.
Is it free?
Yes. The page is free and opens without sign-up; a free account adds the terminal with the chart, alerts and the other Liqwall data.